В добавление к военным издержкам, потерянным налоговым поступлениям и острой нужде в восстановлении инфраструктуры страны, Украина оказывается перед лицом кризиса доверия, бегства капитала и обесценивающей национальной валюты.
«Я сейчас боюсь системного экономического коллапса... Для Украины много теплых слов но мало баксов» из СЩА иди из Европейского Союза, который сталкивается с своим экономическим застоем.»
Ukraine’s economy choking under Russian pressure, but Western help is scarce
With its war-torn economy threatened by further Russian disruptions, Ukraine is in desperate need of a new international financial aid package, economists say, but none appears imminent.
The International Monetary Fund’s $17 billion package in May was not designed to compensate for the effects of months of fighting between Ukraine’s military and Russian-backed separatist forces. In addition to military costs, lost tax revenue and the dire need for infrastructure repair, Ukraine faces a crisis of confidence that is driving capital flight and a decline in its currency.
“I now fear systemic economic failure — unless there is a positive confidence shock,” said Timothy Ash, London-based head of emerging markets research at Standard Bank. He said Ukraine’s banks are fragile, the budget deficit is more than 10 percent of gross domestic product, and the economy could shrink by as much as 10 percent, greater than the current IMF estimates.
Ash said that there were “lots of warm words for Ukraine but not many greenbacks” from the United States or the European Union, which is mired in its own economic stagnation. Ash said in an e-mail that on an official visit to Washington recently, Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko “gave the speech of his life and got $53 million, which is small change. That funds the cost of the war in the East for 9 days.”
That fighting has disrupted the entire eastern part of the country, crimping business and tax receipts. Mikhail Afendikov, chief executive of Cub Energy, an exploration company, said his firm is drilling only four gas wells in eastern Ukraine instead of 18 as planned. Two-thirds of Ukraine’s coal production comes from the strife-torn Donbas region, and output there has fallen by half. Bridges and railways have been damaged...
With the urging of the IMF, the government has raised gas prices for certain customers by as much as 40 to 50 percent in the local currency, but the price in dollars has decreased because of the plunging Ukrainian currency.
Eager to avoid an even greater crisis of confidence, the Ukrainian government has been making debt servicing a priority over other spending claims.
Washington Post 15.10.2014
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Путин пообещал сократить подачу газа в Европу при «воровстве» на Украине
РосБизнесКонсалтинг 16.10.2014
Яценюк: Украина не может гарантировать бесперебойный транзит газа
РИА Новости 16.10.2014
«Я сейчас боюсь системного экономического коллапса... Для Украины много теплых слов но мало баксов» из СЩА иди из Европейского Союза, который сталкивается с своим экономическим застоем.»
Ukraine’s economy choking under Russian pressure, but Western help is scarce
With its war-torn economy threatened by further Russian disruptions, Ukraine is in desperate need of a new international financial aid package, economists say, but none appears imminent.
The International Monetary Fund’s $17 billion package in May was not designed to compensate for the effects of months of fighting between Ukraine’s military and Russian-backed separatist forces. In addition to military costs, lost tax revenue and the dire need for infrastructure repair, Ukraine faces a crisis of confidence that is driving capital flight and a decline in its currency.
“I now fear systemic economic failure — unless there is a positive confidence shock,” said Timothy Ash, London-based head of emerging markets research at Standard Bank. He said Ukraine’s banks are fragile, the budget deficit is more than 10 percent of gross domestic product, and the economy could shrink by as much as 10 percent, greater than the current IMF estimates.
Ash said that there were “lots of warm words for Ukraine but not many greenbacks” from the United States or the European Union, which is mired in its own economic stagnation. Ash said in an e-mail that on an official visit to Washington recently, Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko “gave the speech of his life and got $53 million, which is small change. That funds the cost of the war in the East for 9 days.”
That fighting has disrupted the entire eastern part of the country, crimping business and tax receipts. Mikhail Afendikov, chief executive of Cub Energy, an exploration company, said his firm is drilling only four gas wells in eastern Ukraine instead of 18 as planned. Two-thirds of Ukraine’s coal production comes from the strife-torn Donbas region, and output there has fallen by half. Bridges and railways have been damaged...
With the urging of the IMF, the government has raised gas prices for certain customers by as much as 40 to 50 percent in the local currency, but the price in dollars has decreased because of the plunging Ukrainian currency.
Eager to avoid an even greater crisis of confidence, the Ukrainian government has been making debt servicing a priority over other spending claims.
Washington Post 15.10.2014
////////////////////////////////////////
Путин пообещал сократить подачу газа в Европу при «воровстве» на Украине
РосБизнесКонсалтинг 16.10.2014
Яценюк: Украина не может гарантировать бесперебойный транзит газа
РИА Новости 16.10.2014